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So which campaign is Karl Rove going to?
By Andrew Pollack on 08/15/2007 at 09:32 AM EDT
Karl Rove is leaving the White House. If you hadn't heard that by now you aren't someone who cares. I can think of three reasons why he'd do that other than the ubiquitous "to spend time with my family" answer they all give.
Some say its because some new scandal or a resurgence of ugliness related to an existing one could put him in in the same place as his buddy Scooter. I don't buy that. If that was going to happen it would have already. The Libby pardon was held back as long as it could be to allow the smoke to blow over as much as it was going to.
The first reason that came to my mind was that he didn't want to be associated with the last year of the presidency because the next voting cycle is going to be all about which candidate is the least like Bush. Its going to feel a bit like the last days of The Alamo there in Washington. Why would Rove, credited as the architect of Republican success this last ten years, want to be associated with that?
That is what lead me to realize that there's a bigger reason. I am predicting that Karl Rove will sign on with one of the leading Republican presidential campaigns within the next few months. He'll let some time pass before making the announcement because no campaign wants to be seen as the direct successor to George W. Bush; but once time has passed and new scandals have replaced the current ones you'll see Karl given the puppet strings to the next Great White Hope to come from the Republicans.
Who will it be? I'm betting he has a better idea of who will be the nominee than you or I do.
getting out a year ago, but didn't want to leave in the midst of the
(ineffective) Democrat surge in Congress.
Great White Hope - how pityhy considering there's only 2 non-whites on the Dem
ticket. Oh yeah, let's not forget that more non-whites have been given
predominant places of leadership by President Bush than most others. But it's
good to label "us" as racists. Thanks!
vote that way. McCain was one of the last of that crowd who focused on
economics and ethics and stayed away from the the crazy social laws.
This time around he seems clearly to have lost all sense of where he came from
and either I was wrong about him all along, or he's fallen sadly from that
respectability.
want to have the book out before the next presidential election. Think about
it, would you rather buy "How we'll win the next one" or "How we lost the last
one"? - and I'm not even sure he'd write the latter.
next few weeks. He's many things, but I don't see him as the type to sweat the
details and agonize over the prose for months on end.
By the time he's had enough time to distance himself, he'll be ready to sign on
with someone.
Keep in mind he's probably leaving earlier than he needs to, but this time of
year is the best because nobody is really paying much attention yet. After
labor day, his leaving would make more noise.
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Second, I completely agree that he is going to sign up for another campaign,
but I think he will wait a while. There are just too many candidates, and he
needs to let some fall by the wayside first. The last thing he wants is to
back a loser. Also, the longer he waits the better, as it is going to be hard
to disassociate himself from Bush after all this time. He may even try to work
with a campaign covertly, since the candidates would all love to have his
strategic thinking, but none want his baggage.