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What should the US do about it's relationship with Iran?

By Andrew Pollack on 09/11/2006 at 09:29 AM EDT

What is the US supposed to do about an Iran that is developing seriously dangerous weapons?

First, let us assume for this discussion that Iran really is developing the capability to produce nukes, or to supply that technology to others. We have, after all, set the stage in such a way that it makes sense for them to do so. In international politics, having nukes lets you sit at the special table. We've made it clear that if we could do so without fear of repercussion we'd already have invaded. If you don't think so, look at our policies. What's the difference between North Korea and Prewar Iraq? The ability to hurt us and our allies that North Korea has but Iraq did not have.

We know what doesn't work just by looking at the current situation in Iran, Afghanistan, and Lebanon. Military force doesn't change minds. Is there a historically successful model to take as an example? I think there is. Take a look at the long term results of Nixon's policy of engagement with China. China in 1970 was a rapidly developing state with Nukes and a poor relationship with the US on a political level. By engaging with China at whatever level was possible, over time we have built up a partnership in business and an understanding politically. China still falls far short of what we'd like to see in a neighbor and I'm not endorsing their policies here; but I would suggest that United States is much less threatened by China today than it was in 1970.

I believe the way to deal with Iran (and Cuba, but that's another issue) is through engagement. The Iranian people are intelligent, strong willed, and proud. Many of them are very progressive politically and favor western style economic and political models. At present, that large minority isn't in power, but the concepts of tolerance and democracy are there. Increased threats and sanctions, the specter of war, and most of all fear will only help those who push a nationalistic military based repressive society -- on both sides of this issue.


There are  - loading -  comments....

You're absolutely rightBy Rob McDonagh on 09/11/2006 at 11:53 AM EDT
There's no question in my mind. Economic and cultural partnerships are the
only way to "win" here.

Iran will develop nuclear weapons, because we have made it very clear to them
that they have to do so in order to defend themselves. We either have to
invade Iran (and that's a staggeringly bad idea - which practically guarantees
that this administration is seriously considering it) or we have to
dramatically increase our mutual understanding and tolerance of each other's
culture.

Only Nixon could go to China. Who can go to Iran?
Rock and A Hard PlaceBy Andy Broyles on 09/11/2006 at 12:22 PM EDT
Have you read Fouad Hussein's book on Al-Qaeda?

Here is a link to a der Spegiel article on it...

http://e-prism.org/images/What_aQ_really_wants_-_12-8-05.pdf

Basically, Hussein says that the West is being played in a big way...that OBL
wants us to attack Iran to further his purposes...to him the end does ineed
justify the means.

The only way I see to head this off is a stronger and enforced policy of
isolation by the entire west (yes this means you too France and Russia.) But
that will never happen because of the economic interest France and Russia have
in/with Iran; they are ignoring/damaging the future to prosper today...much the
same as they did with Iraq.

This, I believe, puts the USA in a very bad position, damned if you do, damned
if you don't. The worse thing we could do would be to mount a full scale
attack on Iran. I think that we would 'win' the battle, but lose the war.
My own thoughts on this are...By Devin Olson on 09/15/2006 at 11:18 AM EDT
Interesting premise. I have to admit that I had not considered this in any
way. This isn't so much complete paradigm shift for me; it is more like the
discovery of a piece of quartz in a bag of charcoal -it is something you simply
don't expect to find.

And now that I've found it, I can't stop wondering about it.

-Devin.


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